Watering (灌水)

发表于 2012-11-15 10:43 PM
cat2011 - Congratulations! Yes, I ski a lot in the winter (around 30 ski days a snow season). Don't worry about holding cash - that is a good thing to enjoy holding that rather than some falling stock. We will keep a close eye on the market to see when it is bottoming, but it is a very remote possibility that this is not a bear market. You already know what to do with a bear market! Yes, cash is the king! For the past few years (since 2009), the market has been spiraling up, but now the market has started spiraling down! It will go all the way down to any worst possible situation that you can imagine! Yes, cash is the king!


发表于 2012-11-15 11:10 PM
阿靜妳真是甜!


发表于 2012-11-15 11:16 PM
阿靜 - 下次如果偶有跟人(e.g.,168的垃圾)吵架的話 ... 偶就拉妳去幫偶助陣! 偶應該組織一個打架粉絲團專門幫偶去跟別人打架!



发表于 2012-11-16 11:29 AM
真的要 Black Friday 了! 然後接著就是 Black Monday!


发表于 2012-11-16 12:25 PM
偶從來不管消息的! 今天就是星期五 ... 一個星期的大跌總是會有獲利回補的空頭! 大空頭走勢看法不變!


发表于 2012-11-16 03:21 PM
要上去破 day high 了! 今天要收 day high 了!


发表于 2012-11-16 04:08 PM
是的! 短期反彈波開始! 偶們的大部隊(長線)二砲部隊(中線)不管它這個反彈波 ... 偶的特戰部隊已經開始翻多 ...


发表于 2012-11-16 04:09 PM
漲到最後一分鐘! 今天期指果然收 day high ...


发表于 2012-11-16 05:04 PM
偶今天特戰部隊的期指操作:

On Friday, November 16, 2012 9:28:49 AM UTC-5, snowrider wrote:
Bot ES @ 1353.00 (STP 1349.25)
On Friday, November 16, 2012 9:32:54 AM UTC-5, snowrider wrote:
Added up @ 1351.25 (STP 1349.25)
9:34 AM (7 hours ago)
Stopped out
(-5.75)

On Friday, November 16, 2012 10:03:00 AM UTC-5, snowrider wrote:
Shorted ES @ 1345.25 (STP 1353.00)
On Friday, November 16, 2012 10:48:19 AM UTC-5, snowrider wrote:
Added up short @ 1346.25 (STP 1349.75 for this one)
11:48 AM (5 hours ago)
All out ... total -5
(-5)

On Friday, November 16, 2012 1:30:35 PM UTC-5, snowrider wrote:
Bot ES @ 1355.00 (STP 1351.75)
2:14 PM (2 hours ago)
Out @ 1353.75
(-1.75)

On Friday, November 16, 2012 2:45:53 PM UTC-5, snowrider wrote:
Bot ES @ 1351.75 (STP 1347.75)
On Friday, November 16, 2012 3:02:31 PM UTC-5, snowrider wrote:
Added up long @ 1351.75 (STP all 1350.25)
3:49 PM (1 hour ago)
Out one at 1355.50 (the other one still STP at 1351.25)
(+3.75)

4:01 PM (1 hour ago)
剩下的這一批多頭留倉過週末! (STP 1351.25)




发表于 2012-11-16 05:05 PM
me (snowrider change)
Post reply
4:04 PM (1 hour ago)
Translate message to English
留倉過週末: 金子和日幣空倉SP多倉




发表于 2012-11-16 05:51 PM
短命的反彈就是星期一 ... 長命一點的反彈就是到感恩節

me (snowrider change)
Post reply
4:27 PM (1 hour ago)
Translate message to English
上午開高漲到中午然後跌回開盤價 - 收一個上影十字針 ... (然後偶準備個大棒子一棒子敲下去讓它變成真正的感恩節 Black Friday)


发表于 2012-11-16 05:52 PM
今天不威武了 ... 平倉的期指是小賠 ... 未平倉的期指剛好打平小賠的部分 - 所以今天基本上是打白工!


发表于 2012-11-16 06:31 PM
偶的目前股票持倉 (以今天收盤價來算):

大部隊基金 - 25%+ TLT, 75%- cash
二砲部隊基金 - 19% QID, 22% SDS, 9% TZA, 7% ERY, 43% cash

发表于 2012-11-16 06:35 PM
偶今天還好 ... 如果以浮動盈虧來算 - 今天沒有賺賠(因為最後那一批期指多頭浮動利潤較大) ... 這一整週來算期指空頭是大賺 ...

Watering (灌水)

发表于 2012-11-15 10:11 AM
Bot ERY @ $8.93


发表于 2012-11-15 10:40 AM
I added up my short at 1356.75 and moved all STP to 1358.75. Now I have 3 big bullets shooting ES to 1330.


发表于 2012-11-15 10:56 AM
現在 SPX 1354 如果無法形成小肩底部而跌破今天低點 ... 則雪洗市場了!


发表于 2012-11-15 11:17 AM
偶只是瞎猜的 ... 在快速下跌時 - 市場會尋找支撐區於先前的 consolidation area ... 七月八月左右的盤整區低點是一個可能的地方產生反彈


发表于 2012-11-15 11:19 AM
偶越來越覺得偶又像狼又像鱷魚了 ...



发表于 2012-11-15 11:52 AM
我早上收了前天晚上放空的日幣 ... 一天半時間內大賺 270 點 ... 等日幣反彈多些時候再空它 ... 是的 ... 越來越嗜血了 ...



发表于 2012-11-15 11:54 AM
看到偶的期指空倉的雪球越滾越大 ... 偶越來越為粉絲同學們擔心 ... 希望這波大家沒有被套到 ... 因為在跌是末端會是血流成河的!


发表于 2012-11-15 12:27 PM
偶會一路加碼空下去的 ... 一直空它到市場開始反彈! 一直殺它到所有牛都斷頭!


发表于 2012-11-15 01:03 PM
vanbj - 要想好你的風險底線在哪裡! 不能死扛的! 這波是一個超級大空頭的開始! 偶的特戰部隊已經積了 4 顆大子彈射向 1330 ...



发表于 2012-11-15 01:28 PM

昨天下半場到剛剛 ... 偶的特戰部隊期指操作:

me (snowrider change)
Post reply

1:22 PM (5 minutes ago)
Translate message to English
1350.00 stopped out! 完勝!

- hide quoted text -
On Thursday, November 15, 2012 1:00:02 PM UTC-5, snowrider wrote:
STP 1350.00

On Thursday, November 15, 2012 10:16:12 AM UTC-5, snowrider wrote:
Added up short @ 1356.75 (STP 1358.75)

On Thursday, November 15, 2012 9:59:58 AM UTC-5, snowrider wrote:
STP 1358.75

On Wednesday, November 14, 2012 3:59:33 PM UTC-5, snowrider wrote:
STP 1361.25 ... 這兩批空倉都留倉過夜! 設個半夜的 1332-1330 左右的價位等待崩盤平倉先! 下一個目標將會是 1275 (下一輪再空)

On Wednesday, November 14, 2012 3:00:09 PM UTC-5, snowrider wrote:
STP 1363.25

On Wednesday, November 14, 2012 2:31:10 PM UTC-5, snowrider wrote:
Added up short @ 1363.00 (STP all 1365.00)

On Wednesday, November 14, 2012 2:14:48 PM UTC-5, snowrider wrote:
Stopped out
Shorted ES @ 1362.75 (STP 1368.75)

On Wednesday, November 14, 2012 2:08:36 PM UTC-5, snowrider wrote:
Bot ES @ 1365.75 (STP 1363.25)


发表于 2012-11-15 02:30 PM
現在 SPX 1353 今天如果收這裡 ... 明天又是一隻大黑棒!


发表于 2012-11-15 02:52 PM
對於空頭市場來說 ... 反彈不是個必要條件!


发表于 2012-11-15 03:02 PM
殺尾盤了 ...


发表于 2012-11-15 03:55 PM
收高了! 真漂亮! 反彈波開始了!


发表于 2012-11-15 06:05 PM
不管別人對它多空看法如何 ... 偶大部隊75%現金25%TLT ... 偶二砲部隊空頭反指一大堆 ... 偶特戰部隊期指操作今晚沒有留倉 - 但偶在注意等著它反彈高一點的時候一個大棒子敲下去 ... 偶要一路空它空到崩盤才會收手!


发表于 2012-11-15 06:16 PM
This is really a gamble game ... I don't know really know what will happen ... I bet only based on my guessing and based on how I see the trend is heading to. If you know how I see the market, you might not want to follow me on betting this. I see that the market will go to a big collapse - a very bloody one in next few months.

Watering (灌水) - 11/12-14

发表于 2012-11-11 02:46 AM
偶目前的倉位:

大部隊基金 - 25% TLT 75% cash
二砲部隊基金 - QID, SDS, TZA allocation 懶的查了
特戰部隊 - 2 顆子彈期指空倉 ...

同學請將這當成娛樂帖! 請不要跟偶的單 ... 因為偶有時會忘了update! 萬一同學有跟偶的單子 ... 而偶也忘了update ... 就請盯著問偶了! 特戰部隊因為沒有貼實時帖所以請將它當成馬後炮 ...


发表于 2012-11-11 02:48 AM
以這種大頭部的圖來看 ... 偶是會一路空手不買股票很長很長一段時間了 ... 想要 rally ? 沒這麼容易! 美眉才好不容易把股票全部丟給小散換來大把大把的鈔票 ... 美眉怎麼可能就腦子不清楚了又把鈔票還給小散換回股票呢?
前提 - 偶一定要看到打底的圖偶才會進場買股票 ... 如果沒有打底(做底) ... 那就是長期大空頭 ... 類似前兩年金融危機的大空頭走法會將再來一遍! 千萬不要犯傻進去搶反彈!


发表于 2012-11-12 06:46 PM
剛回來 ... 看到了偶的 2 批 ES 空倉被原價點出了! 現在沒有 ES 倉了!
明天還是無法看盤要出門辦事去!


发表于 2012-11-13 09:24 PM
偶猜明天還是跌 - 1360 先 ... 現在已經有太多的鐵口直斷的高手們 (e.g., 買買提的紫什麼的來著) 預測明天要開始大漲了 ... 偶天生就是喜歡跟別人對著幹 ... 越是遇到聲音大的高手 - 偶越是喜歡特別關注 ...
P.S., 不管明天怎麼樣 ... 先前沒逃命的同學見到任何反彈波都是逃命的機會! 千萬不要犯傻去拿辛苦錢換沒用的股票!


发表于 2012-11-14 09:20 AM

應該用個 spreadsheet 將所有關注的名ID都列在上面 ... 做一個統計 ... 這樣子多空就一目了然了! 发表于 2012-11-14 09:44 AM 今天日幣是一瀉如注 ... 一個超大波長期的日幣跌勢已經展開 发表于 2012-11-14 10:17 AM 今天下去就是破底了! SPX1360 先! 发表于 2012-11-14 10:32 AM 崩盤了今天! 发表于 2012-11-14 10:59 AM 風險控制與資本管理是最重要的! Nothing is more important than that! 由其在期貨操作上面! 低手賺10次賠1次就可以敗光全部 ... 高手賠10次賺1次就可以三年不開張開張吃三年 ... 发表于 2012-11-14 11:32 AM 今天到處逛逛之後發現 ... 目前太多人看反彈或者看漲了! 這就是要崩盤的前兆! 发表于 2012-11-14 12:25 PM 看反彈偶是沒有意見 ... 跌深了本來就會反彈! 但是偶看到許多人開始看大漲 ... 偶就是不明白如何這種圖能夠語不驚人死不休地說要大漲 ... 发表于 2012-11-14 12:48 PM 今天真的要崩盤了! 偶的特戰部隊已經空了兩批期指了! 雪球越滾越大中! 发表于 2012-11-14 01:16 PM Jim Rodgers says, "Mr. Bernanke does not understand anything about currency. He does not understand finance. He does not understand economics. All he understands is money printing; that's the man's whole intellectual career." - in Yahoo Finance "Printing money has never solved anyone’s problems. Maybe sometimes in the short term printing money has alleviated the situation, but anybody who has studied history or economics knows that printing money in the longer term doesn’t work. Maybe this time it’s different, but I doubt it." - in The Fiscal Times "Never in history has printing money made a fundamental change in any economy." - in Reuters 发表于 2012-11-14 01:19 PM cat2011 - 妳是說多長的 timeframe 呢? 如果看超短線 ... 現在正在跌 ... 如果看超長線 ... 現在也是正在跌 ... 发表于 2012-11-14 02:38 PM Today's low (so far) is 1364 ... It's very close to that 1360 critical area, so I won't suggest you to short at this price if you have not shorted last week. 发表于 2012-11-14 03:46 PM 今天的殺尾盤更加確定了空頭走勢 ... 同學們千萬千萬不要 ... 不要怎麼樣呢? 发表于 2012-11-14 03:51 PM 偶的 TZA 今天竟然目前漲了 6% ... 收盤後偶再貼貼MHP     发表于 2012-11-14 04:07 PM 今天期指操作的MHP: me (snowrider change) Post reply 2:00 PM (2 hours ago) All out @ 1368.00 - hide quoted text - On Wednesday, November 14, 2012 12:01:26 PM UTC-5, snowrider wrote: Added up short @1368.50 (STP all 1369.00) On Wednesday, November 14, 2012 9:59:51 AM UTC-5, snowrider wrote: STP 1378.00 On Wednesday, November 14, 2012 9:34:30 AM UTC-5, snowrider wrote: Shorted ES @ 1377.50 (STP 1380.75) me (snowrider change) Post reply 3:59 PM (7 minutes ago) Translate message to English STP 1361.25 ... 這兩批空倉都留倉過夜! 設個半夜的 1332-1330 左右的價位等待崩盤平倉先! 下一個目標將會是 1275 (下一輪再空) On Wednesday, November 14, 2012 3:00:09 PM UTC-5, snowrider wrote: STP 1363.25 On Wednesday, November 14, 2012 2:31:10 PM UTC-5, snowrider wrote: Added up short @ 1363.00 (STP all 1365.00) On Wednesday, November 14, 2012 2:14:48 PM UTC-5, snowrider wrote: Stopped out Shorted ES @ 1362.75 (STP 1368.75) On Wednesday, November 14, 2012 2:08:36 PM UTC-5, snowrider wrote: Bot ES @ 1365.75 (STP 1363.25)     发表于 2012-11-14 06:46 PM 不好意思 ... 偶是在一個朋友的私人俱樂部裡貼著玩的 ... 不想有負擔 ... 所以才沒有公開貼 ... (偶就只MHP賺錢的帖 - 賠錢的帖偶就不MHP了!)     发表于 2012-11-14 07:21 PM 非常希望同學都有躲過這場風暴! 這場風暴才剛剛開始! 舊話重提: 必須留住青山 - 當風暴來臨之前將股票換成現金 當風暴過了之後將現金換成股票 ...