Wave Talk - Wave Alternation or Replication?

From 时时是好时 - 雪大，记得有个说法是如果浪2是简单回调，则浪4很可能是复杂调整浪。反过来也成立，如果浪2是复杂浪则浪 4多半是简单回调。 不知这个结论可靠性怎么样？可有必要做一些针对性的操作？

浪型的變換性是有可能的也常發生  就是說一個賺錢的手段下次不一定賺(因為浪型變換了)  另一個就是浪型的重複性也是有的也常發生  就是說同些市場大戶們的操盤手段就是一個手段一路用(太陽底下沒有新鮮事)  例如黃金每波段 $80 或 $60 ... 他們賺了那些錢就獲利  一路同樣的手段操作過去

From 时时是好时 - 谢谢雪大，看来大户就是不会轻易让人摸到规律。：） 

這是 世事無常(波形可轉換性) 在無常當中也有常(可轉換性是可期待的 或是乾脆波形可重複性)

Computer Dead ... Help!

Lucky Number

What Waves to Trade?

From blessed - you were so sure about Wave-2, why not you short at today's high?

Good question!  You were right that I did not short this wave-2 today (07/16/2012) (, but how did you know that I did not short in my short term trade?).  Here are my answers about why I did not short this wave-2 today:
1. For long term and medium term positions, this wave-2 is too short-lived to trade.  The profit coming from shorting this wave-2 is too small to justify a trade in the large timeframe.  Basically, my long term trading focuses only on those waves in single or double brackets, while my medium term trading focuses only on those waves in single bracket or upper case without bracket.
2. For short term trading, it really depends on how short term it is.  I want to be relaxed.  As long as the market is there, we can make money from the market anytime as we want, so there is no need to trade every single micro- and trivial- wave even if we know where the market is going to.  OK, then what does my short term trading focus on?  My short term trading focuses only on those waves with no bracket and with no underscore.

My Trade - 2012-07-W3

I am starting a new thread for the 3rd week of July.  The following lists my positions as of last Friday:

Long Term - Big troop dollar amount allocation:
- TLT 25% (10%-04/10, 15%-05/01)
- SPY 35% (10%-07/05, 15%-07/06, 10%-07/11)
- Cash 40%

Medium Term - Small troop stock holding: None

If you have any question about short term trading or FX/Futures trading, please PM.

My Trade for last week:
http://perfectew.blogspot.com/2012/07/my-trade-2012-07-w2.html

PLEASE JOIN MY BLOG AS A FOLLOWER. I WILL PRIVATIZE THE BLOG ONCE WE REACH A SIZEABLE NUMBER OF AUDIENCE. THANKS!

Wave Count