2012-08-27

Use MACD and KD% Together

From Liwen - Hi Snowrider, I was looking through the NUGT. My question is 1. did you buy the whole stock price or call option? 2. I am always having some wrong judgement when facing the similar indicator sample like NUGT now, so I want to ask even if MACD is showing positive 0 trend, but the slow/fast KD are in the high value, what make you feel today is a good buy chance? I am kinda confused every time when I see this situation, since when I bet it is down then it goes up, vice versa. Thanks in advance!

About NUGT, I purchased stock instead of its call option.  If you read my post long enough, you will know that I don't use any technical indicator and not even moving averages.  Regarding your using MACD, you need to know what that is!  The idea of using MACD is to follow a trend - a trend that is defined by the MACD's underlying parameterized MAs.  You use the MACD, so you want to be a trend follower.  On the other hand, using KD% is to assume that the market will go back to its mean.  You use KD%, so it makes you to trade against the trend.  The philosophies behind those two indicators contradict each other!  You might want to first define yourself a trend follower or a swing trader.  After that you might want to define in what timeframe you want to follow the trend, and what timeframe you want to trade mean reversion.  Maybe you want to trade by following a longer timeframe's MACD but enter the market only when a lower timeframe's KD% shows you the same direction signal as the that of the longer timeframe's MACD.  Please read more:

Divergence, Overbought, Oversold?
http://perfectew.blogspot.com/2012/05/q_15.html

Mean Reversion
http://perfectew.blogspot.com/2012/05/mean-reversion.html

1 comment:

  1. 背离可以一直背离说的太正了。每次大跌,大涨都如此。可是看波浪我每次都找不好头尾,以至于每每算到后面都乱了。。。。。。还请指点指点。我现在做的基本是Macd即将抬升,kd站在低位买线上叉卖线,但是大涨的机率不高,保本倒是可以,但是比起波浪预测性太低,却是比不上。哎,还得好好学波浪。谢谢!

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