Watering (灌水)

发表于 2013-5-9 03:21 PM
今天偶又是白忙一場的一天 ... 努力地去加碼多頭倉 ... 但是市場上沖之後下滑所以偶什麼便宜都沒占到!


发表于 2013-5-9 03:29 PM

princess-yuan 发表于 2013-5-9 03:23 PM
雪大前几天都做得很好，今天这个突然下跌我现在都不知道为什么

"今天这个突然下跌" - 其實也不是突然! 偶周末的時候在波圖上都已標出今天是周期小高點接著震盪回調 ... 偶期指積極建倉做多因為是在有效的風險控制之下來積倉的 ... 而且偶想要賭一下機率比較小的向上狂飆


发表于 2013-5-9 03:32 PM

princess-yuan 发表于 2013-5-9 03:23 PM
BEN讲话的原因？还是TA的原因

圓姑娘可能不知道 ... 偶根本不 care 誰講話 (並且認為誰講話都改變不了市場將要進行的下一步) ... TA 不是造成市場波動的原因 ... TA 只是一種分析手段去預測市場下一步可能的走向


发表于 2013-5-10 08:55 AM

茜茜 发表于 2013-5-10 08:52 AM
你的波波数的也太厉害了.多亏昨天全部出了.看着像做顶.

昨天見高點只是一個標準數法 (高概率的) ... 但是有一個低概率的可能性就是延長波 ... 目前偶期指多頭不平倉就是在賭它向上飆升走延長波


发表于 2013-5-10 10:42 AM

newstudent6 发表于 2013-5-10 10:39 AM
snowrider laoda, Does ERY changed down trend to up trend today? Thanks

You can take a look the underlying stock XLE ... It is still in a strong up trend, and now it is in a corrective wave only. It's too early to conclude that the up trend is reversing.


发表于 2013-5-10 11:02 AM
Added up ES long 1621.50


发表于 2013-5-10 12:51 PM
偶像 Jim Rogers 說金子 *長期* 看漲 ...
Jim Rogers says, "Certainly, over the course of ten years gold will go much, much higher because I don’t see any possibility that governments are going to stop printing money in the next decade. And as long as that’s going to happen then gold is certainly going to go higher and probably much higher." - in Morningstar UK


发表于 2013-5-10 12:54 PM
但是偶像 Jim Rogers 也說金子有可能繼續向下調整 ...
Jim Rogers says, "At $1,300 I would probably buy some. $1,200 I would buy some more. $1,100 I would buy even more. $1,000, if I’m still solvent, I would buy even more. You know 50 percent retracement would be around $960. Fifty percent retracements are very common in markets. I am not suggesting it is going to get there but those sorts of numbers are common." - in Morningstar


发表于 2013-5-10 02:07 PM
今天如果就收這裡的話 ... 下星期又有新高!


发表于 2013-5-10 02:20 PM

茜茜 发表于 2013-5-9 02:39 PM
I'm going to sell all my shares before mkt close.
Afraid of mkt down next week.

恭喜茜茜昨天清倉在最高點! 現在 F 和 FB 都大幅下跌!


发表于 2013-5-10 02:37 PM

茜茜 发表于 2013-5-10 02:26 PM
Too bad I'm in FB this morning. Now it's deep under the water.
真是管不住自己的手.真烦阿!

茜茜可能這個不用太擔心! 因為算日子FB的周期小低點是今天


发表于 2013-5-10 02:40 PM
FB:
03/27 - 04/11 = Up 10 days
04/11 - 04/18 = Down 5 days
04/18 - 05/02 = Up 10 days
05/02 - 05/09 = Down 5 days +/- 1 day = today


发表于 2013-5-10 02:48 PM
今天行情沒殺下去 ... 下星期可能又有新高! 偶今天來來回回試圖加碼積期指多頭倉 ... 大部分都是原價附近被打掉 ... 最後現在還留著一批在 1612.50 加碼的 ... 最後尾盤看看是否要留過周末 ...


发表于 2013-5-10 02:53 PM
想不到試著買它買了一整天沒有動靜 ... 竟然在這尾盤開始飆升! 目前期指在倉多頭如下: 1585.75, 1621.50
(可惜這兩天其他多次加碼被打掉 ...)



发表于 2013-5-10 03:20 PM
全部留倉過週末!



发表于 2013-5-10 11:49 PM
偶目前的倉位:

Big Troop (大部隊):
- EEM 25% (10%=42.49, 15%=43.52)
- Cash 75%

SAC Troop (二砲部隊):
- EEM 10% (42.83)
- IYR 30% (71.44)
- TBT 6% (62.13)
- XHB 21% (30.83)
- XLP 23% (40.73)
- XLV 27% (47.72)
- Cash -17% (in margin)

SOF Troop (Special Operations Forces) (特戰部隊):
- ES (SP期指) long (1585.75, 1621.50)